
Niko D
- Nov 29, 2016
BK Weekly 世事多变,唯有调整适应
自从11月8日之后,世界貌似就没有太平过,TRUMP给了人们多样性和新鲜感,同时带来的还有全球市场的不稳定性。人的磁场很奇怪,有了不稳定的因子,就算是看上去毫无牵连的也是会发生改变,比如贷款市场。 >> TRUMP效应 基金股票: 增加了证券资本市场的不稳定性,特别需要注意的是对利率敏感的基金股票,长期来看,基础建设板块会有所表现. 美金: 对于developed国家来说,美金将会稍贬比如瑞郎、日币。对于emerging国家来说,美金将会强势,特别是对墨西哥, PESO是一脸汗水啊,但是从长远来看随着税赋的降低以及消费的增加,greenback将会走强 美国国债: 开始会导致国债价格走高,国债收益率下降;但随着税赋降低,刺激消费增加,将会导致热钱走向证券市场,造成债卷的价格降低,收益率增高,这个还需要看其他美债持有国的增减持情况而定 商品期货以及能源: 对于稀有金属特别是黄金利好;反伊朗条约(Anti-Iran rhetoric)将会有利于油价的恢复,特别是针对加拿大而言,从Alberta到Nebraska长达1900公里的石油管道,在奥巴马时代
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